Working Papers

Balanced Growth Approach to Forecasting Recessions

Marta Boczon

Jean-Francois Richard

Keywords: Hybrid model; VAR; DSGE; ECM; RBC

Does Immigration Decrease Far-Fight Popularity? Evidence from Finnish Municipalities

Jakub Lonsky

Keywords: Immigration, far-right, political economy, voting

Market Distortions and Labor Share Distributions: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Firms

Daniel Berkowitz

Shuichiro Nishioka

Keywords: Labor's share, Capital-labor substitution, Product markups, Market distortions

Games with Private Timing

Sofia Moroni

Yuichiro Kamada

Keywords: common interest games, opposing interest games, asynchronous moves, private timing, dynamic games

The Elasticity of Intergenerational Substitution, Parental Altruism, and Fertility Choice

Marla Ripoll

Juan Carlos Córdoba

Keywords: altruism, non-separable utility, intertemporal substitution, intergenerational substitution, economic value of a chil

Experimenter Demand Effects

Lise Vesterlund

Jonathan de Quidt, Alistair J Wilson

Keywords: Experimenter Demand Effect, Qualitative Results, Best-Practice Design, Mitigating Demand Effects, Measuring Demand Effects

Knowing When to Ask: The Cost of Leaning-in

Lise Vesterlund

Christine L. Exley, Murial Niederle

Keywords: gender; negotiations; leaning-in; selection

The Effects of DACA on Health Insurance, Access to Care, and Health Outcomes

Osea Giuntalla

Jakub Lonsky

Keywords: Immigration, DACA, health insurance, health care, health

Excluding Compromise: Negotiating Only With Polarized Interests

Richard van Weelden

Pablo Montagnes

Keywords: Organized negotiations, polarization, auctions with externalities

Informative Cheap Talk in Elections

Richard van Weelden

Navin Kartik

Keywords: Pandering, campaigns, reputational distortions, career concerns, voter learning

Crashing the Party? Elites, Outsiders, and Elections

Richard van Weelden

Peter Buisseret

Reputation Effects and Incumbency (Dis)Advantage

Richard van Weelden

Navin Kartik

Broadband Internet, Digital Temptations, and Sleep

Osea Giuntella

Francesco Billari, Luca Stella

Keywords: Internet, Low Fertility, Work and Family, Teleworking

Weight gains from trade in foods: Evidence from Mexico

Osea Giuntella

Matthias rieger, Lorenzo Rotunno

Keywords: Trade, obesity, nutrition transition, Mexico

Sunset Time and the Economic Effects of Social Jetlag: Evidence from US Time Zone Borders

Osea Giuntella

Fabrizio Mazzonna

Keywords: Time Allocation, Health, Work Schedules, Regression Discontinuity

Does Broadband Internet Affect Fertility?

Osea Giuntella

Francesco C.Billari, Luca Stella

Keywords: Internet, Low Fertility, Work and Family, Teleworking

The Times They are A-Changin'; But are we Changin' with 'em? Experiments on Dynamic Adverse Selection

Alistair Wilson

Felipe A. Araujo and Stephanie W. Wang

Keywords: Adverse Selection, Dynamics, Misspecified Learning Models

Credit Growth and the Financial Crisis: A New Narrative

Stefania Albanesi

Giacomo DeGiorgi and Jaromir Nosal

Keywords: subprime debt; credit boom; housing crisis; financial crisis
Publication Status: Forthcoming in the Review of Economic Dynamics

How Bureaucratic Capacity Shapes Policy Outcomes: Partisan Politics and Affluent Citizens' Incomes in the American States

Daniel Berkowitz

George Krause

Keywords: Policy Outcomes; Partisan Politics; Bureaucratic Capacity; Income Distribution; American States

Alternative moment conditions and an efficient GMM estimator for dynamic panel data models

Federico Zincenko

Gabriel Montes-Rojas, Walter Sosa-Escudero

Keywords: Asymptotic efficiency, dynamic panel, Gmm estimation, individual effects, short panel

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